7th LISBON CONFERENCE
A WORLD IN UNCERTAINTY
We will debate global uncertainty and the reconfiguration of the world order.
The international system is undergoing profound geopolitical, economic, technological, demographic and environmental transformations. Together, these forces are reshaping the global order, creating new opportunities while also generating uncertainty, division and strategic competition.
On the 8th and 9th of October 2026, at the Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation, around 40 speakers will analyse not only these transformations but also reflect on their long-term implications, incorporating the perspectives of younger generations, whose lives will be shaped by today’s decisions and whose choices will, in turn, contribute to shaping the world of tomorrow.
Global transformations are embedded in dynamics that include: An Unsettled International Order; Escalating Conflicts and Strategic Insecurity; Reshaping Globalisation and Development; Energy Transition and Security in an Age of Climate Crisis; Artificial Intelligence is Transforming Society, Power and Warfare; Diverging Demographic Futures; The Rise of Identity Nationalism
Working languages: Portuguese and English, with simultaneous translation.
This is an in-person event only and will not be livestreamed. Participation is free, upon registration.
SPEAKERS
PROGRAMME
8 October 2026
9 October 2026
10:00-10:30 Opening Session
Introduction by Francisco Seixas da Costa : Address by H.E. the President of Portugal, António José Seguro10:30-11:00 - Keynote Speech
Jorge Moreira da Silva14:30–15:30 Energy Transition and Security in an Age of Climate Crisis
Coffee break11:30–13:00 Rivalries and Alliances in a Reconfiguring International Order
How are rivalries among major powers reshaping global governance and alliances? How do these dynamics reflect in today's violent conflicts? Are policies of strategic autonomy, such as those pursued by the EU, an effective response to intensifying insecurity, and geopolitical and economic competition? — Ian O. Lesser : Li Xing : Nathalie Tocci : Shogo Akagawa : Sónia Sénica17:00–18:00 The Geopolitics of Globalisation and Development
Lunch break14:30–15:30 Energy Transition and Security in an Age of Climate Crisis
What geopolitical shifts are emerging from the transformation of global energy systems? What does instability in the Middle East reveal about the fragility of energy security and global maritime trade? How can these trends be reconciled with environmental responsibility and sustainability? — Christian Le Mière : Helena Freitas : Pavan Sukhdev : Bernardo Ivo Cruz15:30–16:30 Artificial Intelligence and Power
How is AI transforming information, communication, and human behaviour? How is the competition for technological leadership reshaping global power asymmetries and democratic governance? How is AI redefining warfare, weapons systems, military strategy, and deterrence? — Adolfo Mesquita Nunes : Anna Nadibaidze : Virgínia Dignum : Luísa Meireles17:00–18:00 The Geopolitics of Globalisation and Development
What kind of multilateralism can survive the current geopolitical transformations? How are sanctions, tariffs, development finance, and foreign aid being instrumentalised for geopolitical purposes? Is globalisation contributing to rising inequalities, both between and within countries? — Antonia Colibășanu : Filipe Santos Costa : Iliana Olivié : Ana Paula Fernandes10:00–11:30 Reshaping the Global Order: Views from the “Global South”
Is the Global South primarily a concept, or is it becoming a platform for underrepresented countries seeking greater influence? What kind of international order would best serve its interests? How can countries of the Global South advance their development priorities while increasing their leverage? — Amrita Narlikar : Arkebe Oqubay : Renato Flôres : Yu Jie : Ana Santos Pinto12:00–13:00 When Identity Nationalism meets Demographic Reality
Coffee break12:00–13:00 When Identity Nationalism meets Demographic Reality
Why are identity-based movements and populism gaining traction across so many societies? To what extent is anti-immigration sentiment driven by cultural narratives? How can ageing, labour-scarce societies sustain both their living standards and social cohesion? — Constança Urbano de Sousa : Hein de Haas : Jelena Dzankic : Noémia Pizarro16:30–17:30 Times of Change and Uncertainty: A Journey through Opera (Cultural Session)
Lunch break14:30–16:00 Global Challenges: Views from Younger Generations
How do younger generations view the reshaping of the global order? Which current global challenges are likely to have the deepest long-term impact on societies and individuals? What is needed to respond effectively without losing confidence in the future? — Afonso Soares : Laura Lisboa : Mariana Garrido : Odara Brito : Rodrigo de Freitas : João Maria Jonet16:30–17:30 Times of Change and Uncertainty: A Journey through Opera (Cultural Session)
What does opera reveal about the enduring human responses to uncertainty, conflict, and transformation? How have composers and artists navigated eras of geopolitical upheaval? Can artistic expression offer a path toward resilience in a fractured world? — Bruno Ribeiro : Francisco Sassetti : André Moz Caldas17:30 Closing Session
Paulo Rangel, Minister of Foreign AffairsUnder the High Patronage
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